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The Dynamics of Bitcoin Options Expiry<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The cryptocurrency market is bracing for another significant Bitcoin options expiry this week, with about 21,000 contracts set to close. These contracts hold a notional value of approximately $1.5 billion. This event is slightly more substantial than the previous week’s expiry and raises questions about its potential impact on Bitcoin’s spot prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Currently, the crypto markets maintain a stable footing, with a total capitalization of just over $2.7 trillion. Bitcoin continues to lead the market trends, showing resilience and dominance in its pricing behavior. As we approach the expiry date on Friday, April 12, the put\/call ratio stands at 0.62, indicating a bullish sentiment with nearly twice as many call (long) positions as puts (shorts).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Context and Background of Current Market Conditions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The ‘max pain point’ for this batch of options is pegged at $69,000\u2014slightly lower than the current spot prices. This scenario typically indicates that the expiration could lead to market movements that align with the interests of option holders, potentially maintaining or increasing the current price levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deribit insights show a considerable amount of open interest at strike prices above $70,000, particularly at $80,000 and $100,000, where the open interest values are $880 million and $934 million respectively. This data suggests that many traders are betting on Bitcoin reaching these higher thresholds in the near future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moreover, the derivatives market tool, Greeks Live, has noted an uptick in market volatility this week, with significant trading around the $70,000 mark. Despite this, the implied volatility has seen substantial declines, suggesting a possible stabilization or even a decrease in price fluctuations post-expiry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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12 April Options Data
21,000 BTC options are due to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.62, a Maxpain point of $69,000 and a notional value of $1.5 billion.
230,000 ETH options are due to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.49, a Maxpain point of $3,425 and a notional value of $800\u2026 pic.twitter.com\/MjPStb9VW1<\/a><\/p>— Greeks.live (@GreeksLive) April 12, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote>