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{"id":15215,"date":"2024-01-08T11:44:17","date_gmt":"2024-01-08T11:44:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/?p=15215"},"modified":"2024-01-08T11:52:56","modified_gmt":"2024-01-08T11:52:56","slug":"sera-possivel-alcancar-532-mil-revelando-a-mais-recente-audaciosa-previsao-do-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/sera-possivel-alcancar-532-mil-revelando-a-mais-recente-audaciosa-previsao-do-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Ser\u00e1 poss\u00edvel alcan\u00e7ar $532 mil? Revelando a Mais Recente Audaciosa Previs\u00e3o do Bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O Ressurgimento do Modelo Stock-to-Flow<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Com o pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin firmemente acima de US$ 40.000 por um per\u00edodo prolongado, modelos de precifica\u00e7\u00e3o anteriormente ignorados, em particular o S tock-to-Flow (S2F), ressurgiram com renovado vigor. O modelo S2F, introduzido pelo analista an\u00f4nimo conhecido como &#8220;PlanB&#8221;, fez um retorno impressionante com uma previs\u00e3o audaciosa: um pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin de US$ 532.000 ap\u00f3s o halving de 2024. Esta previs\u00e3o, embora recebida com ceticismo por muitos, reacendeu as discuss\u00f5es em torno do valor futuro do Bitcoin e da confiabilidade do modelo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"ast-oembed-container \" style=\"height: 100%;\"><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">In 2015, when I bought my first btc at $400, people said bitcoin was dead.<br><br>In 2019, when btc was $4000, I wrote the S2F article, calling for $55k btc. People said I was crazy.<br><br>Today, btc is $40k, and S2F model predicts $532k after 2024 halving. People say it is impossible.<\/p>&mdash; PlanB (@100trillionUSD) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/100trillionUSD\/status\/1743944875819552899?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">January 7, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>O modelo S2F, publicado pela primeira vez em mar\u00e7o de 2019, avalia o valor do Bitcoin por meio de sua escassez, considerando a taxa de nova oferta em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com o estoque atual. Tend\u00eancias recentes t\u00eam mostrado o pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin realinhando-se com a trajet\u00f3ria do S2F, sugerindo um poss\u00edvel mercado em alta no horizonte. No entanto, cr\u00edticos lembram de superestima\u00e7\u00f5es passadas, como a previs\u00e3o de um pre\u00e7o de US$ 135.000 em 2021 que ficou aqu\u00e9m, com o Bitcoin atingindo o pico de US$ 69.000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"ast-oembed-container \" style=\"height: 100%;\"><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">From the bear market lows, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">#bitcoin<\/a> price has now climbed back to the Stock-to-Flow line. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uKrDiSJcWB\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/uKrDiSJcWB<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Philip Swift (@PositiveCrypto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PositiveCrypto\/status\/1742499087377633641?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">January 3, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Entendendo o Modelo Stock-to-Flow<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O modelo Stock-to-Flow est\u00e1 enraizado no conceito de escassez impulsionando o valor. Ele compara o estoque total de uma mercadoria (neste caso, o Bitcoin) com o fluxo de nova produ\u00e7\u00e3o (bitcoins minerados). O ressurgimento do modelo n\u00e3o \u00e9 apenas um testemunho do apelo duradouro do Bitcoin, mas tamb\u00e9m reflete o crescente interesse institucional em criptomoedas como uma classe de ativos leg\u00edtima.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No entanto, as previs\u00f5es super otimistas passadas do modelo levaram a uma boa dose de ceticismo. Cr\u00edticos argumentam que, embora o modelo leve em conta a escassez, ele ignora outras din\u00e2micas de mercado cr\u00edticas, como mudan\u00e7as regulat\u00f3rias, avan\u00e7os tecnol\u00f3gicos e fatores econ\u00f4micos mais amplos que influenciam significativamente o pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Uma Perspectiva Equilibrada sobre o Futuro do Bitcoin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Do meu ponto de vista, embora o modelo S2F ofere\u00e7a uma vis\u00e3o intrigante sobre o valor potencial do Bitcoin com base na escassez, \u00e9 crucial abordar suas previs\u00f5es com uma perspectiva equilibrada. O mercado de criptomoedas \u00e9 notoriamente vol\u00e1til, influenciado por uma mir\u00edade de fatores al\u00e9m da escassez. Mudan\u00e7as regulat\u00f3rias, sentimento de mercado, avan\u00e7os tecnol\u00f3gicos e condi\u00e7\u00f5es econ\u00f4micas globais desempenham pap\u00e9is significativos na determina\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por um lado, o ressurgimento do modelo e o renovado interesse de investidores institucionais destacam a crescente legitimidade e potencial do Bitcoin como um investimento de longo prazo. Por outro lado, as superestima\u00e7\u00f5es passadas do modelo servem como um alerta, lembrando-nos da natureza imprevis\u00edvel do mercado de criptomoedas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Em conclus\u00e3o, embora a previs\u00e3o de US$ 532.000 do modelo S2F seja uma perspectiva empolgante para os entusiastas do Bitcoin, \u00e9 essencial considerar o contexto de mercado mais amplo e abordar tais previs\u00f5es com um otimismo cauteloso. O futuro do Bitcoin, embora promissor, ainda \u00e9 um cap\u00edtulo em aberto, cheio de potencial, mas repleto de incertezas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O Ressurgimento do Modelo Stock-to-Flow Com o pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin firmemente acima de US$ 40.000 por um per\u00edodo prolongado, modelos de precifica\u00e7\u00e3o anteriormente ignorados, em particular o S tock-to-Flow (S2F), ressurgiram com renovado vigor. O modelo S2F, introduzido pelo analista an\u00f4nimo conhecido como &#8220;PlanB&#8221;, fez um retorno impressionante com uma previs\u00e3o audaciosa: um pre\u00e7o do [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":15200,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[66,67],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15215","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-7","category-crypto-7"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15215","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15215"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15215\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15216,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15215\/revisions\/15216"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15200"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15215"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15215"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/pt-pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15215"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}