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{"id":15213,"date":"2024-01-08T11:44:17","date_gmt":"2024-01-08T11:44:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/?p=15213"},"modified":"2024-01-08T11:51:11","modified_gmt":"2024-01-08T11:51:11","slug":"es-posible-alcanzar-los-532-mil-dolares-desvelando-la-ultima-audaz-prediccion-sobre-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/es-posible-alcanzar-los-532-mil-dolares-desvelando-la-ultima-audaz-prediccion-sobre-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfEs posible alcanzar los $532 mil d\u00f3lares? Desvelando la \u00faltima audaz predicci\u00f3n sobre Bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">El Resurgimiento del Modelo Stock-to-Flow<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Con el precio de Bitcoin manteni\u00e9ndose firmemente por encima de los $40,000 durante un per\u00edodo prolongado, los modelos de fijaci\u00f3n de precios previamente desestimados, en particular el Stock-to-Flow (S2F), han resurgido con renovado vigor. El modelo S2F, introducido por el analista an\u00f3nimo conocido como \u00abPlanB\u00bb, ha vuelto con una predicci \u00f3n audaz: un precio de Bitcoin de $532,000 despu\u00e9s de la reducci\u00f3n a la mitad en 2024. Esta predicci\u00f3n, aunque ha sido recibida con escepticismo por muchos, ha reavivado las discusiones sobre el valor futuro de Bitcoin y la confiabilidad del modelo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"ast-oembed-container \" style=\"height: 100%;\"><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">In 2015, when I bought my first btc at $400, people said bitcoin was dead.<br><br>In 2019, when btc was $4000, I wrote the S2F article, calling for $55k btc. People said I was crazy.<br><br>Today, btc is $40k, and S2F model predicts $532k after 2024 halving. People say it is impossible.<\/p>&mdash; PlanB (@100trillionUSD) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/100trillionUSD\/status\/1743944875819552899?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">January 7, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>El modelo S2F, publicado por primera vez en marzo de 2019, eval\u00faa el valor de Bitcoin a trav\u00e9s de su escasez, considerando la tasa de nueva oferta frente al stock actual. Las tendencias recientes han visto el precio de Bitcoin realine\u00e1ndose con la trayectoria S2F, lo que sugiere un posible mercado alcista en el horizonte. Sin embargo, los cr\u00edticos recuerdan estimaciones pasadas exageradas, como la predicci\u00f3n de un precio de $135,000 en 2021 que no se cumpli\u00f3, con Bitcoin alcanzando un m\u00e1ximo de $69,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"ast-oembed-container \" style=\"height: 100%;\"><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">From the bear market lows, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">#bitcoin<\/a> price has now climbed back to the Stock-to-Flow line. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uKrDiSJcWB\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/uKrDiSJcWB<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Philip Swift (@PositiveCrypto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PositiveCrypto\/status\/1742499087377633641?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">January 3, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Entendiendo el Modelo Stock-to-Flow<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>El modelo Stock-to-Flow se basa en el concepto de que la escasez impulsa el valor. Compara el stock total de una mercanc\u00eda (en este caso, Bitcoin) con el flujo de nueva producci\u00f3n (bitcoins minados). El resurgimiento del modelo no es solo un testimonio del atractivo duradero de Bitcoin, sino que tambi\u00e9n refleja el creciente inter\u00e9s institucional en la criptomoneda como una clase de activos leg\u00edtima.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sin embargo, las predicciones pasadas excesivamente optimistas del modelo han generado una buena dosis de escepticismo. Los cr\u00edticos argumentan que, si bien el modelo tiene en cuenta la escasez, pasa por alto otras din\u00e1micas de mercado cr\u00edticas, como cambios regulatorios, avances tecnol\u00f3gicos y factores econ\u00f3micos m\u00e1s amplios que influyen significativamente en el precio de Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Una Perspectiva Equilibrada sobre el Futuro de Bitcoin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Desde mi punto de vista, si bien el modelo S2F ofrece una visi\u00f3n interesante del valor potencial de Bitcoin basado en la escasez, es crucial abordar sus predicciones con una perspectiva equilibrada. El mercado de criptomonedas es conocido por su volatilidad, influenciado por una multitud de factores m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la escasez. Los cambios regulatorios, el sentimiento del mercado, los avances tecnol\u00f3gicos y las condiciones econ\u00f3micas globales juegan un papel significativo en la determinaci\u00f3n del precio de Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por un lado, el resurgimiento del modelo y el renovado inter\u00e9s de los inversores institucionales subrayan la creciente legitimidad y potencial de Bitcoin como una inversi\u00f3n a largo plazo. Por otro lado, las estimaciones excesivas pasadas del modelo sirven como una advertencia, record\u00e1ndonos la naturaleza impredecible del mercado de criptomonedas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En conclusi\u00f3n, si bien la predicci\u00f3n de $532,000 del modelo S2F es una perspectiva emocionante para los entusiastas de Bitcoin, es esencial considerar el contexto del mercado m\u00e1s amplio y abordar tales predicciones con un optimismo cauteloso. El futuro de Bitcoin, aunque prometedor, sigue siendo un cap\u00edtulo por escribir, lleno de potencial pero tambi\u00e9n de incertidumbre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Resurgimiento del Modelo Stock-to-Flow Con el precio de Bitcoin manteni\u00e9ndose firmemente por encima de los $40,000 durante un per\u00edodo prolongado, los modelos de fijaci\u00f3n de precios previamente desestimados, en particular el Stock-to-Flow (S2F), han resurgido con renovado vigor. El modelo S2F, introducido por el analista an\u00f3nimo conocido como \u00abPlanB\u00bb, ha vuelto con una predicci [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":15202,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[61,60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-4","category-crypto-4"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15213","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15213"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15213\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15214,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15213\/revisions\/15214"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15202"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15213"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15213"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lunu.io\/news\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15213"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}